Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v IK Brage

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 13:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 4–1 IK Brage

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 53.39%1.87fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%53.53%53.37%55.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.721.8162.50%58.06%58.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Brage (Visit)

Prediction 22.31%4.48fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.569%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.40%22.22%22.27%23.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.064.6026.67%24.60%24.60%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.30%4.11fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.12%24.25%24.36%25.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.713.9528.57%26.79%26.95%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 53.39%; IK Brage (Visit): 22.31%; Draw: 24.30%. For IK Brage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -9.77%E -5.78%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.62%E +0.569%K +0.728%G +0.019%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 12:51
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -4.07%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.23%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:51
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 12:51
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:55
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:50
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.20%EV -10.10%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:55
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 12:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:43
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -14.58%E -9.11%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -11.88%E -3.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 12:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -14.11%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -14.11%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -16.34%E -4.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-08-29 12:55