Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkenbergs FF v IK Brage

Início: 2026-08-29 13:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 4–1 IK Brage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Previsão 53.39%1.87odd justa
EV -3.36%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -4.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.06%53.53%53.37%55.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.721.721.8162.50%58.06%58.14%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Brage (Visitante)

Previsão 22.31%4.48odd justa
EV +2.62%
Vantagem +0.569%
Kelly +0.728%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.40%22.22%22.27%23.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.074.064.6026.67%24.60%24.60%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.30%4.11odd justa
EV -4.01%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.12%24.25%24.36%25.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.713.9528.57%26.79%26.95%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 53.39%; IK Brage (Visitante): 22.31%; Empate: 24.30%. Para IK Brage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.48. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.62%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -9.77%E -5.78%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.62%E +0.569%K +0.728%G +0.019%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 12:51
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -4.07%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.23%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:51
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 12:51
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:55
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:50
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.20%EV -10.10%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:55
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 12:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:43
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -14.58%E -9.11%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -11.88%E -3.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 12:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -14.11%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -14.11%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -16.34%E -4.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 12:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-08-29 12:55