Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF v IK Brage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 13:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 4–1 IK Brage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 53.39%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.06%53.53%53.37%55.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.721.721.8162.50%58.06%58.14%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.31%4.48cote équitable
EV +2.62%
Avantage +0.569%
Kelly +0.728%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.40%22.22%22.27%23.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.074.064.6026.67%24.60%24.60%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.30%4.11cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.12%24.25%24.36%25.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.713.9528.57%26.79%26.95%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Falkenbergs FF (Local) : 53.39% ; IK Brage (Visiteur) : 22.31% ; Match nul : 24.30%. Pour IK Brage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.48. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +2.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -9.77%E -5.78%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.62%E +0.569%K +0.728%G +0.019%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -2.96%E -0.680%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -4.01%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 12:51
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -3.40%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -4.07%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.23%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:51
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -6.30%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 12:51
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:55
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:50
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.20%EV -10.10%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:55
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 12:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:43
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -14.58%E -9.11%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -11.88%E -3.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 12:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 12:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.00%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -14.11%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -14.11%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.08%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -15.23%E -4.01%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -16.34%E -4.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.38%0.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-08-29 12:55