Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 2.44
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 33.57%; IFK Norrkoping (Visit): 39.27%; Draw: 27.16%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -5.01%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.10%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.35%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -7.02%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.22%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 16:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -8.70%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.60%E -6.18%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -17.53%E -8.35%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.52%E -6.17%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-05 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.41%E -5.65%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 16:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:44 |