La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Falkenbergs FF v IFK Norrkoping
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkenbergs FF (Local)
Predicción 33.57%2.98momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.916%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.39%33.60%33.55%35.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.37%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)
Predicción 39.27%2.55momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%39.28%39.23%40.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.322.4447.62%43.06%43.10%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.12%27.21%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.60%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -5.01%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.10%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.35%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -7.02%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.22%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 16:38 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-05 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 13:29 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:05 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -8.70%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.60%E -6.18%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -17.53%E -8.35%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.52%E -6.17%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-05 15:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-05 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-05 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.41%E -5.65%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 16:44 |