La scuola delle quote

Falkenbergs FF v IFK Norrkoping

Inizio: 2026-05-05 17:00 UTC

Finale: Falkenbergs FF 1–0 IFK Norrkoping

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Casa)

Previsione 33.57%2.98quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -0.916%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.39%33.60%33.55%35.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.37%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Norrkoping (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.27%2.55quota equa
EV -4.17%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.78%39.28%39.23%40.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.322.322.4447.62%43.06%43.10%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.16%3.68quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.35%27.12%27.21%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.60%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:39
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 16:35
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.73%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 16:35
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 16:35
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -5.01%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.10%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 16:40
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 16:30
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 16:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 16:30
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 16:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:40
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.35%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 16:35
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -7.02%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%EV -7.31%E -3.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 16:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.22%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 16:35
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -8.88%E -3.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 16:38
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 16:40
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 13:29
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 15:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 15:05
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 15:20
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.09%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-05 15:40
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -8.70%E -3.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 15:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 16:35
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 16:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.73%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-05 13:30
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.60%E -6.18%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-05 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -17.53%E -8.35%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.52%E -6.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-05 15:40
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 16:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 16:30
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.67%E -4.20%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 15:10
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.63%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-05 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.41%E -5.65%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.74%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-05 16:45
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-05 16:44