Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-07-21 17:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 2–3 Helsingborgs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 45.27%2.21fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%45.49%45.12%47.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1853.19%49.89%50.00%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.371%
Kelly +0.516%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%28.36%28.70%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.263.203.5534.48%30.65%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -0.489%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%26.15%26.18%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8030.30%28.53%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 45.27%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 28.54%; Draw: 26.19%. For Helsingborgs IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -13.53%E -7.08%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 16:40
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.53%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -0.397%E -0.114%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -8.55%E -4.23%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.446%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.489%E -0.129%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -13.98%E -7.36%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -14.89%E -7.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.98%EV -6.74%E -3.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.39%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 16:55
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:40
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:40
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 16:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 16:40
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -11.72%E -6.01%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -10.96%E -3.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -10.96%E -3.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -1.30%E -0.598%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -1.30%E -0.598%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -10.81%E -5.49%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-21 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -8.55%E -4.23%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 16:55
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -13.81%E -4.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -13.53%E -7.08%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.88%EV -17.24%E -5.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-21 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:50

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