L’École des cotes

Falkenbergs FF v Helsingborgs IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 17:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 2–3 Helsingborgs IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 45.27%2.21cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.598%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.99%45.49%45.12%47.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.002.002.1853.19%49.89%50.00%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Helsingborgs IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.54%3.50cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.371%
Kelly +0.516%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%28.36%28.70%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.263.203.5534.48%30.65%31.25%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.489%
Avantage -0.129%
Kelly -0.175%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%26.15%26.18%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.8030.30%28.53%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -12.17%E -6.27%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV +1.32%E +0.371%K +0.516%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 16:40
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -13.08%E -6.81%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 16:40
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -13.53%E -7.08%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -0.112%E -0.032%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 16:40
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.53%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -0.397%E -0.114%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:45
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -8.55%E -4.23%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.446%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.489%E -0.129%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -13.98%E -7.36%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -14.89%E -7.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -2.97%E -0.872%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 16:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.82%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.98%EV -6.74%E -3.27%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.39%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 16:55
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.25%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.65%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 16:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:40
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 16:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 16:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 16:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.96%E -3.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 16:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -11.72%E -6.01%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -10.96%E -3.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 16:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.23%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -10.96%E -3.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 16:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -1.30%E -0.598%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:55
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -1.30%E -0.598%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 16:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 16:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-21 16:40
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -10.81%E -5.49%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.53%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-21 16:50
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -8.55%E -4.23%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 16:55
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -13.81%E -4.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 16:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -13.53%E -7.08%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.88%EV -17.24%E -5.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-21 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-21 16:50