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Västerås SK v Mjällby AIF

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prediction 39.94%2.50fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%40.05%39.87%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.202.4450.00%44.71%45.45%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.976%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.30%33.10%33.38%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.46%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV +0.600%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.218%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%26.85%26.75%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.493.7530.77%28.84%28.65%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Västerås SK (Local): 39.94%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 26.83%. For Mjällby AIF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +3.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV +3.02%E +0.976%K +1.44%G +0.044%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV +0.600%E +0.160%K +0.218%G +0.001%2.8%2026-10-11 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV +3.02%E +0.976%K +1.44%G +0.044%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV +0.600%E +0.160%K +0.218%G +0.001%2.8%2026-10-11 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV +3.02%E +0.976%K +1.44%G +0.044%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV +0.600%E +0.160%K +0.218%G +0.001%2.8%2026-10-11 12:49
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.96%E -0.665%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.96%E -0.665%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.96%E -0.665%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.96%E -0.665%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.96%E -0.665%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:50
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -1.96%E -0.665%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.89%EV -7.74%E -3.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%EV -5.30%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.92%EV -13.73%E -6.36%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -4.29%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 12:49
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -14.53%E -6.79%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -15.33%E -7.23%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 12:49
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.26%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.89%EV -5.62%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -6.64%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.42%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -16.13%E -7.68%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-11 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -16.13%E -7.68%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-11 12:50
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.06%EV -7.28%E -2.61%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.57%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 13:54
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.14%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.14%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.14%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 13:14
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -9.60%E -3.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.36%EV -20.12%E -10.06%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.97%EV -11.93%E -4.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.67%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-11 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -12.60%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -12.01%E -3.66%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 13:53
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -14.13%E -6.57%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-11 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -15.25%E -5.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-11 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.09%EV -14.13%E -6.57%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -15.25%E -5.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-11 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 39.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%13.6%2026-10-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-11 13:25
Arbitrage (9 combinations) +0.09%Betsson 2.44 (41.0%) / Unibet (SE) 3.10 (32.3%) / Unibet (SE) 3.75 (26.7%)Show all 9 combinations
Västerås SK (Local)Mjällby AIF (Visit)DrawMargin
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%