StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Västerås SK v Mjällby AIF

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Direkter Vergleich

34 Wettanbieter (7 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Västerås SK (Heim)

Prognose 39.56%2.53faire Quote
EV -3.47%
Vorteil -1.42%
Kelly -2.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.66%39.76%39.48%42.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.252.232.4450.00%44.47%44.94%40.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.60%2.98faire Quote
EV +4.15%
Vorteil +1.34%
Kelly +1.97%
Wachstum +0.082%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.30%33.39%33.62%34.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.552.812.793.1039.22%35.58%35.78%32.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.84%3.73faire Quote
EV +0.664%
Vorteil +0.177%
Kelly +0.241%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.67%26.85%26.90%27.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.463.463.7530.77%28.92%28.86%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Västerås SK (Heim): 39.56%; Mjällby AIF (Auswärts): 33.60%; Unentschieden: 26.84%. Für Mjällby AIF (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.98. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.10 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +4.15%.

Wettanbieterquoten (34 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV +4.15%E +1.34%K +1.97%G +0.082%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV +0.664%E +0.177%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.8%2026-10-11 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV +4.15%E +1.34%K +1.97%G +0.082%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV +0.664%E +0.177%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.8%2026-10-11 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.67%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%EV +4.15%E +1.34%K +1.97%G +0.082%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV +0.664%E +0.177%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.8%2026-10-11 12:49
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -0.893%E -0.303%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -0.893%E -0.303%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -0.893%E -0.303%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -0.893%E -0.303%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -0.893%E -0.303%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:50
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -0.893%E -0.303%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.92%EV -14.55%E -6.74%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -3.24%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 12:49
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -15.34%E -7.17%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -16.13%E -7.61%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -4.25%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.07%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 12:49
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.26%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.89%EV -4.59%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -6.58%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.36%E -0.934%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -16.92%E -8.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.07%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-11 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -16.92%E -8.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.07%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-11 12:50
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.06%EV -6.27%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 13:54
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.76%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 13:54
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:15
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.70%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 13:14
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -5.05%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -8.62%E -3.17%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.36%EV -20.88%E -10.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.97%EV -10.97%E -4.14%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.67%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-11 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -11.64%E -4.43%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -11.95%E -3.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 13:53
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -14.94%E -6.95%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -12.65%E -4.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-11 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -14.33%E -5.62%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.07%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-11 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.09%EV -14.94%E -6.95%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.33%E -5.62%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-11 13:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 39.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%13.6%2026-10-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-11 13:25
Arbitrage (9 Kombinationen) +0.09%Betsson 2.44 (41.0%) / Unibet (SE) 3.10 (32.3%) / Unibet (SE) 3.75 (26.7%)Alle 9 Kombinationen anzeigen
Västerås SK (Heim)Mjällby AIF (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.10 (32.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%
Betsson🎯 2.44 (41.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.10 (32.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.75 (26.7%)+0.092%