Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 15.00
assuming max odds 1.23
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 8.37%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 78.01%; Draw: 13.62%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.95. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -21.01%E -3.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -21.01%E -3.62%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.93I 7.73%NM 7.42%EV +8.22%E +0.635%K +0.689%G +0.057% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.34%EV -2.08%E -0.289%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 11:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.17%E -6.02%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.51%E -8.20%K -59.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -25.09%E -4.56%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.05%E -3.29%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 11:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.72%EV -10.29%E -8.95%K -68.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.86%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 11:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -12.12%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -12.12%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.32I 9.69%NM 9.10%EV -13.63%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.59%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.32%EV -3.98%E -0.565%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.43%EV -15.47%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.04%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +3.51%E +0.461%K +0.531%G +0.019% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -10.29%E -8.95%K -68.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -18.40%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.96%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -18.40%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -20.49%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -20.49%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.91%EV -14.20%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 11:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -24.68%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -24.68%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.92%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -14.88%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.28%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |