Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örgryte IS v Hammarby IF

Início: 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

Final: Örgryte IS 1–1 Hammarby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Previsão 8.37%11.95odd justa
EV +25.54%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +1.82%
Crescimento +0.466%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.50%8.47%8.44%10.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.5011.1811.0015.0011.76%8.94%9.09%6.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 78.01%1.28odd justa
EV -4.05%
Vantagem -3.29%
Kelly -17.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.56%77.81%78.06%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.181.191.2388.50%84.44%83.68%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 13.62%7.34odd justa
EV +8.95%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescimento +0.115%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.20%13.72%13.50%16.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.786.758.0018.18%14.74%14.81%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Örgryte IS (Local): 8.37%; Hammarby IF (Visitante): 78.01%; Empate: 13.62%. Para Örgryte IS (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 11.95. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 15.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +25.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%2.5%2026-09-06 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%2.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%2.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Casumo🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:35
Betsson🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -21.01%E -3.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 07:25
NordicBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -21.01%E -3.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 07:25
Pinnacle🎯12.93I 7.73%NM 7.42%EV +8.22%E +0.635%K +0.689%G +0.057%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.34%EV -2.08%E -0.289%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 11:50
DraftKings🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 11:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.17%E -6.02%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.51%E -8.20%K -59.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 09:30
PlayUp🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -25.09%E -4.56%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 11:49
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.05%E -3.29%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 11:50
betano_uk🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:40
Bet Victor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:44
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.72%EV -10.29%E -8.95%K -68.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:49
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.86%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:55
BetUS🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:30
BetAnything🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 11:59
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:44
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:49
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:49
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -12.12%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:30
Betr (AU)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -12.12%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:49
GTbets🎯10.32I 9.69%NM 9.10%EV -13.63%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.59%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.32%EV -3.98%E -0.565%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
1xBet🎯10.10I 9.90%NM 9.43%EV -15.47%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.04%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +3.51%E +0.461%K +0.531%G +0.019%5.0%2026-09-06 11:50
FanDuel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -10.29%E -8.95%K -68.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 11:55
BetMGM🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -18.40%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.96%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -18.40%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:40
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -20.49%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -20.49%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.91%EV -14.20%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -24.68%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 11:30
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -24.68%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.92%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -14.88%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Neds🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.28%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Matchbook◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55