Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örgryte IS v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

Score final : Örgryte IS 1–1 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prévision 8.37%11.95cote équitable
EV +25.54%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +1.82%
Croissance +0.466%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.50%8.47%8.44%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5011.1811.0015.0011.76%8.94%9.09%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.01%1.28cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -3.29%
Kelly -17.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.56%77.81%78.06%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.181.191.2388.50%84.44%83.68%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 13.62%7.34cote équitable
EV +8.95%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.115%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.20%13.72%13.50%16.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.786.758.0018.18%14.74%14.81%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Örgryte IS (Local) : 8.37% ; Hammarby IF (Visiteur) : 78.01% ; Match nul : 13.62%. Pour Örgryte IS (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.95. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +25.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%2.5%2026-09-06 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%2.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +25.54%E +1.70%K +1.82%G +0.466%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +8.95%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.115%2.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Casumo🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.14%E +0.286%K +0.330%G +0.007%6.5%2026-09-06 11:35
Betsson🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -21.01%E -3.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 07:25
NordicBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +8.80%E +0.677%K +0.734%G +0.065%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.82%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -21.01%E -3.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 07:25
Pinnacle🎯12.93I 7.73%NM 7.42%EV +8.22%E +0.635%K +0.689%G +0.057%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.34%EV -2.08%E -0.289%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 11:50
DraftKings🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 11:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -7.17%E -6.02%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.51%E -8.20%K -59.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 09:30
PlayUp🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +0.433%E +0.036%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -25.09%E -4.56%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 11:49
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.05%E -3.29%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 11:50
betano_uk🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:40
Bet Victor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:44
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.72%EV -10.29%E -8.95%K -68.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:49
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.86%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -3.75%E -0.326%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -11.85%E -10.48%K -91.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:55
BetUS🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 11:30
BetAnything🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -7.39%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 11:59
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:44
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 11:55
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:49
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.94%E -0.721%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:49
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -12.12%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.69%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:30
Betr (AU)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -12.12%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:49
GTbets🎯10.32I 9.69%NM 9.10%EV -13.63%E -1.32%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.59%EV -5.61%E -4.63%K -26.70%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.32%EV -3.98%E -0.565%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
1xBet🎯10.10I 9.90%NM 9.43%EV -15.47%E -1.53%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.04%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.53%EV +3.51%E +0.461%K +0.531%G +0.019%5.0%2026-09-06 11:50
FanDuel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -10.29%E -8.95%K -68.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -16.31%E -1.63%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 11:55
BetMGM🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -18.40%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.96%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -18.40%E -1.89%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:40
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -20.49%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.48%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -20.49%E -2.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -11.07%E -9.71%K -79.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.91%EV -14.20%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -24.68%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -7.95%E -6.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -4.67%E -0.667%K -0.778%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 11:30
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -24.68%E -2.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.92%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -14.88%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Neds🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -18.29%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -28.86%E -3.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.28%EV -8.73%E -7.46%K -51.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -8.07%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55
Matchbook◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.98%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%0.8%2026-09-06 11:55