The School of Odds

Mjällby AIF v Västerås SK

2026-07-17 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 53.84%1.86fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.10%53.80%53.54%55.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.711.8163%58%58%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Västerås SK (Visit)

Prediction 21.62%4.62fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.347%
Kelly +0.440%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%21.64%21.93%23.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.654.274.254.7027%23%24%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.54%4.08fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.12%24.56%24.53%25.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.653.9530%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.25%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%EV +1.63%E +0.347%K +0.440%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.08%E -0.780%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-10 17:05
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 54.25%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%EV +1.63%E +0.347%K +0.440%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.08%E -0.780%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-10 17:04
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.25%EV -2.55%E -1.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%EV +1.63%E +0.347%K +0.440%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.08%E -0.780%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-10 17:05
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.09%EV -8.47%E -4.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -1.61%E -0.355%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 18:54
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.09%EV -8.47%E -4.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -1.61%E -0.355%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.86%E -3.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -2.70%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 18:19
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.93%E -4.64%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.70%E -0.599%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 18:08
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.44%EV -7.39%E -4.30%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.23%EV -4.64%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 19:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.47%E -4.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.86%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:05
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.93%E -4.64%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.86%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:05
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 17:05
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.47%E -4.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.09%E -6.04%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -6.37%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 18:10
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 18:19
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -6.86%E -3.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -6.86%E -3.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 17:05
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -6.86%E -3.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 17:05
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.16%EV -6.86%E -3.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.10%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.44%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 17:05
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -8.47%E -4.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-10 17:04
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -8.47%E -4.98%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-10 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -9.55%E -5.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.12%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-10 17:05
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.92%EV -9.55%E -5.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.12%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-10 17:05
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.86%E -3.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.51%E -3.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.47%EV -11.70%E -7.14%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -13.94%E -3.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.50%EV -12.16%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-10 17:04
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.81%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.66%EV -14.59%E -3.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -17.80%E -5.31%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-10 17:05
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -10.09%E -6.04%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -15.67%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -16.58%E -4.88%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-10 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.99%EV -11.70%E -7.14%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -17.83%E -4.69%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.57%EV -13.86%E -8.66%K -23.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.05%EV -21.07%E -5.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.38%EV -15.35%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-10 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%13.4%2026-07-10 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 18:20