Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v Västerås SK

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 17:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–0 Västerås SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 53.90%1.86fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.50%53.85%54.00%56.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.731.8261.73%58.09%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås SK (Visit)

Prediction 22.19%4.51fair odd
EV +11.15%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +2.78%
Growth +0.310%

assuming max odds 5.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.00%22.14%22.12%23.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.155.0126.67%23.98%24.10%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.91%4.18fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.28%24.00%23.87%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.804.1128.57%26.09%26.32%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 53.90%; Västerås SK (Visit): 22.19%; Draw: 23.91%. For Västerås SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.66%EV -9.45%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.00%EV +11.15%E +2.23%K +2.78%G +0.310%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.34%EV -6.50%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 16:49
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.20%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.44%EV -0.607%E -0.136%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.37%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -11.06%E -6.70%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -2.38%E -0.541%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 16:49
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 16:50
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -3.94%E -0.909%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -3.94%E -0.909%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.14%EV -4.16%E -0.962%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -2.68%E -0.658%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 16:53
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:50
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.71%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.55%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.71%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.96%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 16:54
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.05%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%EV -7.93%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.20%EV -10.81%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 16:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.39%EV -11.60%E -7.07%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -7.93%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 16:34
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:49
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:49
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.45%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.74%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -11.60%E -7.07%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.92%E -3.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -12.68%E -7.83%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -16.31%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -16.80%E -4.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.92%E -3.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-07-17 16:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-17 16:50

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