L’École des cotes

Mjällby AIF v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Mjällby AIF 0–0 Västerås SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 53.90%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.50%53.85%54.00%56.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.731.8261.73%58.09%57.80%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.19%4.51cote équitable
EV +11.15%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +2.78%
Croissance +0.310%

avec la cote maximale 5.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.00%22.14%22.12%23.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.174.155.0126.67%23.98%24.10%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.91%4.18cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.419%
Kelly -0.553%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.28%24.00%23.87%25.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.804.1128.57%26.09%26.32%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.66%EV -9.45%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.00%EV +11.15%E +2.23%K +2.78%G +0.310%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.34%EV -6.50%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 16:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 16:49
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 16:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.20%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.44%EV -0.607%E -0.136%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.37%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -11.06%E -6.70%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -2.38%E -0.541%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 16:49
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 16:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 16:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -3.94%E -0.909%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:55
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -3.94%E -0.909%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 16:54
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.14%EV -4.16%E -0.962%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -2.68%E -0.658%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 16:45
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:54
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:54
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 16:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 16:53
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:50
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.71%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.55%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 16:53
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.71%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:44
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.96%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 16:54
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 16:55
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.05%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%EV -7.93%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.20%EV -10.81%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 16:48
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.39%EV -11.60%E -7.07%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -7.93%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 16:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 16:34
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:49
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:50
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:49
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 16:50
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 16:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.45%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 16:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:44
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:50
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 16:50
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.74%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -11.60%E -7.07%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.92%E -3.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 16:54
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -12.68%E -7.83%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -16.31%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-17 16:50
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -16.80%E -4.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.92%E -3.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-07-17 16:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-17 16:50