La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mjällby AIF v Västerås SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mjällby AIF (Local)
Predicción 53.90%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.50%53.85%54.00%56.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.731.8261.73%58.09%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Västerås SK (Visitante)
Predicción 22.19%4.51momio equitativo
EV +11.15%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +2.78%
Crecimiento +0.310%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.00%22.14%22.12%23.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.155.0126.67%23.98%24.10%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.91%4.18momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.419%
Kelly -0.553%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.28%24.00%23.87%25.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.804.1128.57%26.09%26.32%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.66%EV -9.45%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.00%EV +11.15%E +2.23%K +2.78%G +0.310% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.34%EV -6.50%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%EV -0.164%E -0.036%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%EV -1.96%E -0.478%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.20%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.44%EV -0.607%E -0.136%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.37%EV -1.72%E -0.419%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -11.06%E -6.70%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -2.38%E -0.541%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.49%E -0.803%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -3.94%E -0.909%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -3.94%E -0.909%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.14%EV -4.16%E -0.962%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.50%EV -2.68%E -0.658%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 16:53 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.60%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.71%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.55%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 16:53 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.71%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.96%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.82%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.05%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%EV -7.93%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.20%EV -10.81%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 16:48 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.39%EV -11.60%E -7.07%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.50%EV -7.93%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 16:34 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.04%E -2.20%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.45%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.26%E -2.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.74%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-17 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.66%EV -11.60%E -7.07%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -13.48%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 16:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -13.92%E -3.87%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -12.68%E -7.83%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -15.69%E -4.13%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -16.31%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -16.80%E -4.48%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.92%E -3.87%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-07-17 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 16:50 |