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Mjällby AIF v IK Sirius

2026-08-15 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV +0.211%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.84%29.83%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.053.3535.71%32.53%32.79%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.68%44.71%44.65%45.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.042.042.1552.91%49.14%49.02%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.45%25.52%25.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.603.603.8529.85%27.80%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mjällby AIF (Local): 29.91%; IK Sirius (Visit): 44.53%; Draw: 25.55%. For Mjällby AIF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.35, producing a positive expected value of +0.211%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV +0.211%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.80%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV +0.211%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.80%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV +0.211%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.80%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.29%E -0.389%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.29%E -0.389%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -8.26%E -4.01%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:09
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -8.26%E -4.01%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:09
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:09
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -7.87%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -5.96%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 17:19
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 13:09
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 13:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.89%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 16:30
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:35
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 16:34
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.00%EV -12.65%E -4.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 13:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.13%EV -15.83%E -8.38%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.46%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.12%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -14.75%E -5.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.89%EV -16.24%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.68%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-08 13:19
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.68%EV -16.24%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -13.16%E -6.75%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-08 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%13.8%2026-08-08 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 16:49