Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v IK Sirius

Início: 2026-08-15 13:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 4–3 IK Sirius

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 31.42%3.18odd justa
EV +2.42%
Vantagem +0.744%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.12%31.32%31.31%32.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.942.913.2635.71%34.05%34.36%30.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Previsão 42.16%2.37odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.756%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.79%42.28%42.30%43.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.192.172.3350.00%45.64%45.98%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.42%3.79odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -0.979%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.40%26.39%27.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.463.453.6530.77%28.92%28.99%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mjällby AIF (Local): 31.42%; IK Sirius (Visitante): 42.16%; Empate: 26.42%. Para Mjällby AIF (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.18. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.26, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.12%EV +2.42%E +0.744%K +1.07%G +0.026%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.75%EV -8.51%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV +2.11%E +0.649%K +0.938%G +0.020%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.33%EV -2.60%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.76%E -0.756%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.33%EV -2.60%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.76%E -0.756%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.33%EV -2.60%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%EV -1.76%E -0.756%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 12:34
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -2.60%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.77%E -4.57%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.01%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -2.60%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 12:24
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.57%E -0.979%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 12:59
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:55
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 12:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 12:59
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:54
BetAnything🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:54
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 12:54
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 12:34
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 12:54
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -7.94%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.53%EV -4.71%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 12:59
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -8.26%E -2.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -8.26%E -2.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:54
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:34
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:35
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:35
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -8.09%E -3.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.61%E -5.01%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 12:38
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 12:58
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 12:58
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 12:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 12:35
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -9.83%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -9.83%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:39
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.23%EV -8.09%E -3.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 12:34
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.34%EV -8.51%E -3.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 12:34
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.18%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 12:39
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.82%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.28%EV -9.77%E -4.57%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.28%EV -9.77%E -4.57%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 12:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.28%EV -9.77%E -4.57%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.14%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 12:34
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -15.67%E -7.84%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 12:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-08-15 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-08-15 12:55
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-08-15 12:55
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-08-15 12:55