Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v IK Sirius

2026-08-15 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (5 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 29.91%3.34odd justa
EV +0.211%
Vantagem +0.063%
Kelly +0.090%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%29.84%29.83%30.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.073.053.3535.71%32.53%32.79%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Previsão 44.53%2.25odd justa
EV -4.26%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -3.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.68%44.71%44.65%45.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.042.042.1552.91%49.14%49.02%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.55%3.91odd justa
EV -1.62%
Vantagem -0.420%
Kelly -0.567%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.27%25.45%25.52%25.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.603.603.8529.85%27.80%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Mjällby AIF (Local): 29.91%; IK Sirius (Visitante): 44.53%; Empate: 25.55%. Para Mjällby AIF (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.34. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.35, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.211%.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV +0.211%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.80%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV +0.211%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.80%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV +0.211%E +0.063%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.80%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.29%E -0.389%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.29%E -0.389%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -8.26%E -4.01%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:09
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -8.26%E -4.01%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:09
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.15%E -4.49%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:10
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -7.27%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:09
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -7.87%E -2.55%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -5.96%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 17:19
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 13:09
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -8.76%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 13:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.89%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 16:30
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:35
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 16:34
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.26%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.00%EV -12.65%E -4.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 13:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -13.25%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.13%EV -15.83%E -8.38%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.46%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.12%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -14.75%E -5.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.89%EV -16.24%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.68%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-08 13:19
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.68%EV -16.24%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -13.16%E -6.75%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-08 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%13.8%2026-08-08 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 16:49