Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v Västerås SK

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 14:30 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 2–3 Västerås SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 53.81%1.86fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.54%53.73%53.81%55.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.54%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås SK (Visit)

Prediction 21.63%4.62fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +0.792%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%21.61%21.62%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.284.254.8026.32%23.38%23.53%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.56%4.07fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.584%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.64%24.66%24.58%25.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.03%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 53.81%; Västerås SK (Visit): 21.63%; Draw: 24.56%. For Västerås SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.62%EV +0.557%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.59%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.09%EV -1.82%E -0.401%K -0.515%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.49%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.69%E -0.597%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.69%E -0.597%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:20
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:18
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:20
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.42%EV -5.68%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.74%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 14:09
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-24 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -11.21%E -6.79%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -11.21%E -6.79%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -13.90%E -8.69%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -15.26%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -12.82%E -7.92%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -18.94%E -5.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -11.75%E -7.16%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -15.66%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.24%EV -12.82%E -7.92%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.66%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-24 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-24 14:20