La escuela de los momios

Malmo FF v Västerås SK

Inicio: 2026-05-24 14:30 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 2–3 Västerås SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Predicción 53.81%1.86momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -5.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.54%53.73%53.81%55.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.54%58.82%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Västerås SK (Visitante)

Predicción 21.63%4.62momio equitativo
EV +3.80%
Ventaja +0.792%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.42%21.61%21.62%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.284.254.8026.32%23.38%23.53%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.56%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.584%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.64%24.66%24.58%25.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.03%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.62%EV +0.557%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.59%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.09%EV -1.82%E -0.401%K -0.515%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.49%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.69%E -0.597%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.69%E -0.597%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:18
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 14:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:20
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.42%EV -5.68%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 14:19
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.74%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 14:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 14:09
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 13:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-24 14:20
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -11.21%E -6.79%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -11.21%E -6.79%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 14:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -13.90%E -8.69%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -15.26%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -12.82%E -7.92%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -18.94%E -5.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -11.75%E -7.16%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -15.66%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.24%EV -12.82%E -7.92%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.66%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-24 14:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-24 14:20