L’École des cotes

Malmo FF v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 14:30 UTC

Score final : Malmo FF 2–3 Västerås SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Prévision 53.81%1.86cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -5.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.54%53.73%53.81%55.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.711.701.7862.50%58.54%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.63%4.62cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +0.792%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%21.61%21.62%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.284.254.8026.32%23.38%23.53%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.56%4.07cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -0.584%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.64%24.66%24.58%25.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.704.0030.30%27.03%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%EV -4.21%E -2.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%EV +3.80%E +0.792%K +1.00%G +0.038%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.79%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.62%EV +0.557%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.59%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.41%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.09%EV -1.82%E -0.401%K -0.515%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.49%EV -3.96%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.69%E -0.597%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.69%E -0.597%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:18
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.847%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:20
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -5.29%E -3.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 14:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 14:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -4.85%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -5.93%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 14:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -6.36%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:20
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.42%EV -5.68%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -7.98%E -4.67%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 14:19
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.74%EV -7.44%E -4.33%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 14:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 14:00
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.90%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 14:09
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 13:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-24 14:20
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -11.21%E -6.79%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -11.21%E -6.79%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.17%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.80%E -3.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -5.43%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 14:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -10.67%E -6.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.34%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 14:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -13.90%E -8.69%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -15.26%E -4.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -12.82%E -7.92%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.50%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -18.94%E -5.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -11.75%E -7.16%K -18.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -15.66%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -10.35%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.24%EV -12.82%E -7.92%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.66%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-24 14:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.13%E -6.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -17.82%E -4.69%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-24 14:20