The School of Odds

Malmo FF v IFK Goteborg

2026-07-12 12:00 — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Option 1: Malmo FF (Local)

1.7457.47%Min
1.8952.96%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
1.9551.28%Max
47.73%2.095Min
49.71%2.012Max
48.41%2.066Mean
48.45%2.064Median
48.44%2.064IQM
48.41%2.066Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 48.44%

EV -5.54%Edge -2.84%Kelly -5.83%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: IFK Goteborg (Visit)

3.2031.25%Min
3.4329.13%Mean
3.4229.24%Median
3.6027.78%Max
25.68%3.895Min
27.81%3.596Max
26.80%3.732Mean
27.01%3.702Median
26.87%3.722IQM
26.80%3.732Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 26.87%

EV -3.28%Edge -0.911%Kelly -1.26%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.3529.85%Min
3.6727.27%Mean
3.6527.40%Median
3.8825.77%Max
24.15%4.141Min
25.81%3.875Max
24.79%4.033Mean
24.53%4.076Median
24.69%4.050IQM
24.79%4.033Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.88 under the IQM model: 24.69%

EV -4.20%Edge -1.08%Kelly -1.46%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMalmo FF (Local) ▼IFK Goteborg (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28% NM 48.32%EV -5.54% E -2.84% K -5.83% G +0.000%3.44I 29.07% NM 27.39%EV -7.58% E -2.20% K -3.11% G +0.000%3.88I 25.77% NM 24.29%EV -4.20% E -1.08% K -1.46% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 14:30
Bovada1.95I 51.28% NM 48.08%EV -5.54% E -2.84% K -5.83% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.57%EV -8.65% E -2.54% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.35%EV -4.94% E -1.28% K -1.73% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:56
DraftKings1.95I 51.28% NM 47.73%EV -5.54% E -2.84% K -5.83% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.78%EV -10.00% E -2.98% K -4.25% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.49%EV -6.18% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 18:34
1xBet1.93I 51.81% NM 48.51%EV -6.51% E -3.37% K -6.99% G +0.000%3.54I 28.25% NM 26.45%EV -4.89% E -1.38% K -1.93% G +0.000%3.74I 26.74% NM 25.04%EV -7.66% E -2.05% K -2.80% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 14:20
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81% NM 48.37%EV -6.51% E -3.37% K -6.99% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.06%EV -7.31% E -2.12% K -2.98% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.18% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81% NM 48.37%EV -6.51% E -3.37% K -6.99% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.06%EV -7.31% E -2.12% K -2.98% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.57%EV -6.18% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 16:05
NordicBet1.92I 52.08% NM 48.39%EV -6.99% E -3.64% K -7.60% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -3.28% E -0.911% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:15
Betsson1.92I 52.08% NM 48.39%EV -6.99% E -3.64% K -7.60% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -3.28% E -0.911% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 16:15
Betway1.91I 52.36% NM 48.04%EV -7.47% E -3.91% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.81%EV -11.34% E -3.44% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.15%EV -6.18% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 13:19
888sport1.91I 52.36% NM 47.79%EV -7.47% E -3.91% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.85%EV -8.65% E -2.54% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.36%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 14:15
William Hill1.91I 52.36% NM 47.79%EV -7.47% E -3.91% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.85%EV -8.65% E -2.54% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.36%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 14:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.79%EV -7.47% E -3.91% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.85%EV -8.65% E -2.54% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.36%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.79%EV -7.47% E -3.91% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.85%EV -8.65% E -2.54% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.36%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 14:14
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63% NM 49.15%EV -7.96% E -4.19% K -8.84% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.94%EV -3.28% E -0.911% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.90%EV -7.41% E -1.98% K -2.70% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63% NM 48.65%EV -7.96% E -4.19% K -8.84% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.68%EV -3.28% E -0.911% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.68%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 13:25
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63% NM 48.41%EV -7.96% E -4.19% K -8.84% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.06%EV -8.65% E -2.54% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.53%EV -7.41% E -1.98% K -2.70% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:20
Bet Right1.88I 53.19% NM 48.71%EV -8.93% E -4.75% K -10.14% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.54%EV -7.31% E -2.12% K -2.98% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.75%EV -8.65% E -2.34% K -3.20% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 14:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48% NM 49.71%EV -9.41% E -5.03% K -10.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.82%EV -3.28% E -0.911% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.46%EV -6.18% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 14:19
SportsBet1.87I 53.48% NM 49.03%EV -9.41% E -5.03% K -10.82% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.19%EV -5.97% E -1.70% K -2.39% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.78%EV -8.65% E -2.34% K -3.20% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 14:20
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05% NM 48.96%EV -10.38% E -5.61% K -12.21% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.88%EV -5.97% E -1.70% K -2.39% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.16%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 14:19
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56% NM 48.69%EV -12.80% E -7.11% K -16.00% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.97%EV -12.68% E -3.90% K -5.64% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.34%EV -11.12% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 13:24
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 48.00%EV -12.80% E -7.11% K -16.00% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.59%EV -12.68% E -3.90% K -5.64% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.41%EV -16.05% E -4.72% K -6.69% G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-05 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18% NM 48.83%EV -13.77% E -7.74% K -17.66% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.34%EV -11.34% E -3.44% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.83%EV -13.59% E -3.88% K -5.43% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-05 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47% NM 48.47%EV -15.71% E -9.03% K -21.23% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.36%EV -14.03% E -4.38% K -6.38% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.18%EV -17.29% E -5.16% K -7.36% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-05 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerMalmo FF (Local)IFK Goteborg (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%3.50I 28.57%3.60I 27.78%6.6%2026-07-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%3.50I 28.57%3.60I 27.78%6.6%2026-07-05 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%3.35I 29.85%3.60I 27.78%7.9%2026-07-05 16:35
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%2.82I 35.46%3.50I 28.57%15.1%2026-07-05 19:50