La scuola delle quote

Malmo FF v IFK Goteborg

Inizio: 2026-07-12 12:00 UTC

Finale: Malmo FF 4–0 IFK Goteborg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Malmo FF (Casa)

Previsione 48.62%2.06quota equa
EV -4.71%
Vantaggio -2.40%
Kelly -4.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.87%48.95%48.51%52.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.881.901.9658.82%53.28%52.63%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Goteborg (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.11%3.69quota equa
EV +13.85%
Vantaggio +3.30%
Kelly +4.33%
Crescita +0.599%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.27%26.75%27.18%28.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.523.454.2032.26%28.41%28.99%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.28%4.12quota equa
EV -0.467%
Vantaggio -0.114%
Kelly -0.151%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.45%24.30%24.31%25.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.753.754.1029.41%26.69%26.67%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.99%EV -8.60%E -4.58%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%EV +13.85%E +3.30%K +4.33%G +0.599%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 11:39
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.99%EV -8.60%E -4.58%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%EV +13.85%E +3.30%K +4.33%G +0.599%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 11:39
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.99%EV -8.60%E -4.58%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%EV +13.85%E +3.30%K +4.33%G +0.599%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 11:39
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.82%EV -11.52%E -6.33%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV +9.78%E +2.42%K +3.21%G +0.314%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -0.467%E -0.114%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV +7.07%E +1.79%K +2.40%G +0.170%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 11:39
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV +7.07%E +1.79%K +2.40%G +0.170%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 11:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV +4.36%E +1.13%K +1.53%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV +4.36%E +1.13%K +1.53%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV +4.36%E +1.13%K +1.53%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV +4.36%E +1.13%K +1.53%G +0.067%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:39
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -13.46%E -7.56%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV +1.65%E +0.441%K +0.601%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 11:39
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -13.95%E -7.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV +1.65%E +0.441%K +0.601%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 11:39
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.92%E -8.53%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV +0.297%E +0.080%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.03%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 11:39
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -14.92%E -8.53%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV +0.297%E +0.080%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.03%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 11:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.80%EV -6.17%E -3.20%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.95%EV -1.60%E -0.441%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV -9.45%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 08:14
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -2.41%E -0.671%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 11:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.41%E -0.671%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.54%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 10:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.41%E -0.671%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.54%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 10:54
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.70%EV -17.35%E -10.21%K -24.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -2.41%E -0.671%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.35%EV -17.46%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-12 11:39
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -11.52%E -6.33%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 11:29
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.04%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -4.58%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.79%EV -2.41%E -0.599%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 11:55
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.52%EV -6.66%E -3.47%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.01%EV -4.58%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV -1.68%E -0.415%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 11:54
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 11:54
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 11:55
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 48.48%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 11:55
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -6.66%E -3.47%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 11:54
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.09%E -4.86%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 11:44
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 11:04
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 11:10
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.17%E -3.20%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 11:53
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 11:24
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 11:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 11:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 11:44
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.84%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 11:54
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 11:24
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.18%EV -9.09%E -4.86%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.14%EV -10.00%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 11:34
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:10
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:09
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.20%E -2.67%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 11:09
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 11:29
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 11:54
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.50%EV -10.55%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 11:34
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -7.63%E -4.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 09:14
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -8.60%E -4.58%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 11:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.03%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-12 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.03%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-12 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.03%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-12 11:09
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.03%E -4.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-12 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -10.55%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -11.39%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-12 09:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.49%E -6.94%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-12 11:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34%0.2%2026-07-12 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-12 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-12 11:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-12 11:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-12 11:55