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Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF

2026-08-24 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.44%36.24%36.45%36.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.5842.02%40.04%40.00%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 37.60%2.66fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.68%37.56%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5344.44%41.78%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -0.782%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.279%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%26.08%25.98%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.523.453.8029.41%28.41%28.99%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Malmo FF (Local): 36.29%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 37.60%; Draw: 26.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -0.782%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.57%EV -6.36%E -2.47%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.29%EV -4.88%E -1.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -6.36%E -2.47%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -5.26%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 19:00
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -6.36%E -2.47%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -5.26%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:59
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.782%E -0.206%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.782%E -0.206%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.89%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 19:19
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.09%E -0.557%K -0.759%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:49
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.65%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 15:44
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.53%E -5.88%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.44%EV -9.99%E -4.03%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -14.66%E -6.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 18:43
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -15.41%E -6.85%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -15.41%E -6.85%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-16 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -15.41%E -6.85%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 18:39
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -15.41%E -6.85%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.53%EV -13.62%E -5.72%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.64%EV -15.41%E -6.85%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.84%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-16 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%2.26I 44.25%NM 37.92%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-08-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 17:19

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