Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-24 17:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 0–3 Djurgardens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 35.86%2.79fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.585%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%35.94%35.69%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7641.67%38.59%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 37.70%2.65fair odd
EV -0.479%
Edge -0.182%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.09%37.71%37.80%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.6444.44%41.27%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV +0.487%
Edge +0.128%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.36%26.51%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.8030.30%28.64%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 35.86%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 37.70%; Draw: 26.44%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.487%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.39%E -0.505%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +0.487%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.39%E -0.505%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +0.487%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-24 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.39%E -0.505%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +0.487%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-24 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.02%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.42%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.02%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.42%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:45
BetAnything🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.02%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.42%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.41%EV -2.82%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.00%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.51%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 16:45
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.81%EV -1.03%E -0.373%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -6.13%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.85%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.43%EV -0.479%E -0.182%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:54
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.97%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 16:45
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -13.94%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -4.97%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.12%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 16:45
Bovada🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.04%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.47%EV -5.38%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.12%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:47
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.18%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 16:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:44
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:48
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:14
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -13.94%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-24 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:34
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.41%E -4.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 16:14
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -9.03%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.57%EV -9.28%E -3.67%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.97%EV -10.66%E -4.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.47%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.41%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.41%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-24 16:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:34
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -12.15%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-24 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-24 16:54
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-24 16:54