Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF

Início: 2026-08-24 17:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 0–3 Djurgardens IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Malmo FF (Local)

Previsão 35.86%2.79odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.373%
Kelly -0.585%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.27%35.94%35.69%38.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.7641.67%38.59%38.46%36.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Djurgardens IF (Visitante)

Previsão 37.70%2.65odd justa
EV -0.479%
Vantagem -0.182%
Kelly -0.292%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.09%37.71%37.80%38.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.402.6444.44%41.27%41.67%37.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.44%3.78odd justa
EV +0.487%
Vantagem +0.128%
Kelly +0.174%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.91%26.36%26.51%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.493.503.8030.30%28.64%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Malmo FF (Local): 35.86%; Djurgardens IF (Visitante): 37.70%; Empate: 26.44%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.78. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.487%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.39%E -0.505%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +0.487%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.39%E -0.505%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +0.487%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-24 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.39%E -0.505%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +0.487%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-24 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.02%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.42%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.02%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.42%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:45
BetAnything🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.02%EV -4.26%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.42%EV -3.12%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.41%EV -2.82%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.00%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.51%EV -4.27%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 16:45
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.81%EV -1.03%E -0.373%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.58%EV -6.13%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.85%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.43%EV -0.479%E -0.182%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 16:54
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.97%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 16:45
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.69%E -2.16%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -13.94%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -4.97%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.12%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 16:45
Bovada🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.04%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.47%EV -5.38%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.12%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:47
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.18%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 16:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:44
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 16:48
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:14
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -13.94%E -5.81%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-24 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:34
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.41%E -4.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -12.54%E -5.41%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 16:14
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -9.03%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.57%EV -9.28%E -3.67%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.97%EV -10.66%E -4.50%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.47%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.56%E -3.36%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.41%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.35%E -4.14%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.41%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-24 16:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:34
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.05%E -2.31%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.60%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -12.15%E -4.96%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 16:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-24 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-24 16:54
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-08-24 16:54