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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF

2026-08-24 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Malmo FF (主队)

预测 36.44%2.74公平赔率
EV -5.99%
优势 -2.32%
Kelly -3.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.58

博彩公司预测分布
35.44%36.45%36.70%37.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.492.502.5842.02%40.11%40.00%38.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Djurgardens IF (客队)

预测 37.43%2.67公平赔率
EV -5.29%
优势 -2.09%
Kelly -3.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.53

博彩公司预测分布
36.56%37.51%37.20%39.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.402.402.5344.44%41.74%41.67%39.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.13%3.83公平赔率
EV -0.710%
优势 -0.187%
Kelly -0.254%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.54%26.04%26.09%27.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.523.453.8029.41%28.41%28.99%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Malmo FF (主队)：36.44%；Djurgardens IF (客队)：37.43%；平局：26.13%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.80，期望值为-0.710%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.57%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.29%EV -5.29%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -5.67%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 19:00
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:59
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -6.79%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -10.16%E -4.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.710%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -10.16%E -4.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.710%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.91%E -4.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.02%E -0.538%K -0.733%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:49
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.03%E -5.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 15:44
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.16%E -4.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.90%E -6.04%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.44%EV -9.64%E -3.89%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -15.02%E -6.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -15.77%E -7.01%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.20%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -15.77%E -7.01%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-16 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -15.77%E -7.01%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 18:39
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -15.77%E -7.01%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.53%EV -13.28%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.64%EV -15.77%E -7.01%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.84%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-16 18:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%2.26I 44.25%NM 37.92%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-08-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 17:19

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