Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar FF v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 13:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 2–1 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%48.95%48.83%52.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.851.851.9959.52%53.91%54.05%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV +9.53%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +2.58%
Growth +0.246%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.81%23.23%23.38%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.054.004.7027.78%24.71%25.00%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV +0.088%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%27.82%27.79%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.6034.72%30.24%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar FF (Local): 48.89%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 23.30%; Draw: 27.80%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +2.54%E +0.578%K +0.748%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:49
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:50
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:20
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.11%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.08%EV -5.19%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 12:30
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 12:49
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -13.46%E -7.60%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:19
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -13.46%E -7.60%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.01%EV -13.95%E -7.93%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 12:19
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 12:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:28
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -14.93%E -8.58%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -14.93%E -8.58%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 12:19
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -5.61%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:49
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -9.06%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 12:29
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 12:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.95%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.83%EV -17.86%E -10.63%K -26.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-23 12:19
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.36%EV -8.88%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 12:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.28%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 12:29
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.06%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -12.61%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.61%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.93%E -6.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.50%EV -12.97%E -7.29%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -14.94%E -4.09%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.10%E -4.47%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-05-23 12:49