La escuela de los momios

Kalmar FF v Degerfors IF

Inicio: 2026-05-23 13:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 2–1 Degerfors IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Predicción 48.89%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%48.95%48.83%52.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.851.851.9959.52%53.91%54.05%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Degerfors IF (Visitante)

Predicción 23.30%4.29momio equitativo
EV +9.53%
Ventaja +2.03%
Kelly +2.58%
Crecimiento +0.246%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.81%23.23%23.38%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.054.004.7027.78%24.71%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.80%3.60momio equitativo
EV +0.088%
Ventaja +0.024%
Kelly +0.034%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.78%27.82%27.79%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.6034.72%30.24%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +2.54%E +0.578%K +0.748%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:49
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:50
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:20
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.11%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.08%EV -5.19%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 12:30
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 12:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -13.46%E -7.60%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:19
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -13.46%E -7.60%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:19
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.01%EV -13.95%E -7.93%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 12:19
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 12:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:28
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -14.93%E -8.58%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 12:19
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -14.93%E -8.58%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 12:19
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -5.61%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 12:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -9.06%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 12:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 12:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.95%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 12:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.83%EV -17.86%E -10.63%K -26.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-23 12:19
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.36%EV -8.88%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:19
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:39
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 12:18
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 12:50
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.28%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:29
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:29
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 12:29
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.06%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -12.61%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.61%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.93%E -6.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.50%EV -12.97%E -7.29%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -14.94%E -4.09%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.10%E -4.47%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 12:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-05-23 12:49