L’École des cotes

Kalmar FF v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 13:00 UTC

Score final : Kalmar FF 2–1 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 48.89%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%48.95%48.83%52.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.851.851.9959.52%53.91%54.05%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV +9.53%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +2.58%
Croissance +0.246%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.81%23.23%23.38%24.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.054.004.7027.78%24.71%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.80%3.60cote équitable
EV +0.088%
Avantage +0.024%
Kelly +0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%27.82%27.79%29.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.303.6034.72%30.24%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%EV -8.08%E -4.30%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +9.53%E +2.03%K +2.58%G +0.246%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%EV +0.088%E +0.024%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +2.54%E +0.578%K +0.748%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:49
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:50
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:19
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV +0.211%E +0.049%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:20
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.11%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.08%EV -5.19%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 12:30
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.52%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 12:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -13.46%E -7.60%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:19
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -13.46%E -7.60%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:19
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.01%EV -13.95%E -7.93%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -2.12%E -0.505%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 12:19
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 12:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:28
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 12:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -14.93%E -8.58%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 12:19
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -14.93%E -8.58%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-23 12:19
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -5.61%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 12:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -9.06%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 12:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 12:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.78%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 12:50
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.95%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 12:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.83%EV -17.86%E -10.63%K -26.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.62%EV -7.95%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-23 12:19
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.36%EV -8.88%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:19
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:39
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 12:18
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.11%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 12:50
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.57%E -4.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.28%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 12:29
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:29
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 12:29
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.44%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.06%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -12.61%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.61%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.93%E -6.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-23 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.77%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:19
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.50%EV -12.97%E -7.29%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -14.94%E -4.09%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.41%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -16.10%E -4.47%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 12:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-05-23 12:49