The School of Odds

IK Sirius v IFK Goteborg

2026-07-26 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Prediction 61.24%1.63fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -9.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.89%61.56%61.08%68.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.451.461.5578%69%68%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 18.23%5.49fair odd
EV +36.69%
Edge +4.89%
Kelly +5.64%
Growth +2.07%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.03%17.87%18.41%20.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.205.585.307.5024%18%19%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.53%4.87fair odd
EV +7.80%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.62%20.57%20.51%21.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.534.505.2525%22%22%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -12.42%E -8.69%K -28.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +36.69%E +4.89%K +5.64%G +2.07%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +7.80%E +1.48%K +1.83%G +0.143%2.3%2026-07-19 23:25
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -12.42%E -8.69%K -28.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +36.69%E +4.89%K +5.64%G +2.07%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +7.80%E +1.48%K +1.83%G +0.143%2.3%2026-07-19 23:30
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -12.42%E -8.69%K -28.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +36.69%E +4.89%K +5.64%G +2.07%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +7.80%E +1.48%K +1.83%G +0.143%2.3%2026-07-19 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -15.49%E -11.22%K -40.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +23.02%E +3.41%K +4.00%G +0.922%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV +0.609%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-19 23:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -15.49%E -11.22%K -40.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV +23.02%E +3.41%K +4.00%G +0.922%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV +0.609%E +0.124%K +0.156%G +0.001%7.7%2026-07-19 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -15.49%E -11.22%K -40.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +18.46%E +2.84%K +3.36%G +0.620%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -1.44%E -0.301%K -0.380%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 23:30
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -15.49%E -11.22%K -40.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +18.46%E +2.84%K +3.36%G +0.620%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -1.44%E -0.301%K -0.380%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 23:25
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -15.49%E -11.22%K -40.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +18.46%E +2.84%K +3.36%G +0.620%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -1.44%E -0.301%K -0.380%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 23:25
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -15.49%E -11.22%K -40.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +18.46%E +2.84%K +3.36%G +0.620%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -1.44%E -0.301%K -0.380%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 23:25
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.31%EV -16.71%E -12.29%K -46.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV +16.64%E +2.60%K +3.08%G +0.513%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 23:25
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -17.32%E -12.83%K -49.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV +13.91%E +2.23%K +2.65%G +0.368%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 23:25
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -17.94%E -13.38%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV +13.91%E +2.23%K +2.65%G +0.368%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -17.94%E -13.38%K -52.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV +13.91%E +2.23%K +2.65%G +0.368%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 23:25
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.31%EV -21.00%E -16.28%K -72.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV +9.35%E +1.56%K +1.87%G +0.175%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.44%EV -9.66%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-19 23:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -9.36%E -6.33%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +3.88%E +0.681%K +0.826%G +0.032%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 02:04
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.14%E -5.42%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV +0.238%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.09%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 02:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV +0.238%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 02:05
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -10.59%E -7.25%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +0.238%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 02:05
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 16.95%EV -0.126%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.85%EV -3.91%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 02:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.01%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.63%EV -3.22%E -0.607%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 01:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -6.91%E -4.55%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.41%E -0.643%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -10.68%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 02:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -6.91%E -4.55%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.41%E -0.643%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -10.68%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 02:09
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -9.36%E -6.33%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -4.32%E -0.822%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.66%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 02:05
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -5.23%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-20 01:20
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.68%EV -7.96%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.46%EV -5.35%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 01:20
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.83%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.67%EV -7.96%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 01:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 02:05
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.91%E -4.55%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 02:05
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 01:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 01:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -11.81%E -8.20%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.66%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-20 02:05
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.81%E -8.20%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -17.87%E -4.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-20 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -10.59%E -7.25%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -15.25%E -3.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-20 02:05
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.35%EV -11.20%E -7.72%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.82%EV -15.25%E -3.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-20 02:05
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 01:15
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.81%E -8.20%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.99%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-20 02:05
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.83%EV -10.59%E -7.25%K -23.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -19.81%E -4.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.31%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 02:04
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 58.89%EV -12.42%E -8.69%K -28.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.05%EV -23.45%E -5.58%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.05%EV -17.87%E -4.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-20 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.43%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59%3.3%2026-07-20 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.43%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59%3.3%2026-07-20 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.43%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59%3.3%2026-07-20 01:40
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.12%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%4.5%2026-07-20 01:45
Arbitrage (608 combinations) +3.20%Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%) / Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%) / Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)Show all 608 combinations
IK Sirius (Local)IFK Goteborg (Visit)DrawMargin
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.8%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.8%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Pinnacle 1.55 (66.6%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.8%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.8%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.8%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.8%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
Bovada 1.55 (66.6%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.8%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.7%)+3.20%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
LeoVegas 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
888sport 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
William Hill 1.53 (66.9%)Svenska Spel 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
Mr Green (SE) 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
Mr Green (SE) 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
Mr Green (SE) 1.53 (66.9%)Unibet (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Svenska Spel 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
Mr Green (SE) 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)Unibet (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%
Mr Green (SE) 1.53 (66.9%)ATG (SE) 7.50 (13.6%)ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.5%)+2.31%

Showing 50 of 608 combinations