La escuela de los momios

IK Sirius v IFK Goteborg

2026-07-26 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Predicción 64.72%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.67%64.53%64.68%66.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.43%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Goteborg (Visitante)

Predicción 15.77%6.34momio equitativo
EV +10.39%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.73%
Crecimiento +0.180%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.85%15.79%15.82%17.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.915.907.0020.00%16.91%16.95%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.51%5.13momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.494%
Kelly -0.617%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.76%19.69%19.50%22.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.544.505.0025.97%22.04%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.91%E -1.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +10.39%E +1.48%K +1.73%G +0.180%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 15:20
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.91%E -1.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +10.39%E +1.48%K +1.73%G +0.180%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.91%E -1.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV +10.39%E +1.48%K +1.73%G +0.180%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.24%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.55%EV +4.08%E +0.618%K +0.728%G +0.030%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -2.47%E -0.494%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 08:44
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +2.50%E +0.385%K +0.455%G +0.011%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -4.86%E -3.30%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV +0.926%E +0.145%K +0.171%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -17.10%E -4.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -4.86%E -3.30%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV +0.926%E +0.145%K +0.171%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -17.10%E -4.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.85%EV -0.651%E -0.103%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 18:25
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.85%EV -0.651%E -0.103%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.44%E -0.230%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:20
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.44%E -0.230%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:20
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.44%E -0.230%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:20
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -1.44%E -0.230%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:20
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.03%EV -4.86%E -3.30%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.70%EV -3.96%E -0.651%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.27%EV -3.25%E -0.655%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:40
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.48%EV -4.59%E -0.759%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:28
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.72%EV -4.86%E -3.30%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -4.42%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 18:14
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -7.44%E -5.21%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -2.47%E -0.494%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 02:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.35%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 09:05
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 21:05
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 21:04
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 01:33
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.27%E -2.23%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 01:29
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 14:50
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -7.44%E -5.21%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -20.02%E -4.88%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 15:20
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -7.44%E -5.21%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -5.38%E -0.897%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -21.97%E -5.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 15:20
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.27%EV -2.27%E -1.50%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.00%EV -5.86%E -0.981%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.72%EV -10.08%E -2.19%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 05:39
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.71%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -6.96%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.42%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 01:29
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.71%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -6.96%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.42%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 01:25
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 64.71%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%EV -6.96%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.42%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 01:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -4.86%E -3.30%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -8.54%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.42%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 01:29
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.54%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:49
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.54%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.32%E -1.77%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 16:35
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 62.67%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.24%EV -8.54%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -21.97%E -5.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 62.67%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.24%EV -8.54%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -21.97%E -5.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.47%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 01:31
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.47%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -5.39%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 01:35
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.35%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 01:24
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.35%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 01:19
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.35%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 01:23
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.80%E -4.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:44
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 12:04
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.09%E -5.70%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -14.17%E -3.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 02:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.54%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 21:05
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.90%EV -11.98%E -8.81%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.88%EV -9.32%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -24.90%E -6.47%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-25 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.49%EV -8.74%E -6.20%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.95%EV -10.11%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.30%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 01:25
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -2.91%E -1.94%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -13.27%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.99%EV -7.44%E -5.21%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -14.84%E -2.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.37%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 01:24
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -10.03%E -7.22%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -19.57%E -3.84%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 01:25
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -4.21%E -2.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -21.15%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 11:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -4.21%E -2.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -21.15%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -4.21%E -2.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -21.15%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -4.21%E -2.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -21.15%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -18.07%E -4.30%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 11:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -9.39%E -6.70%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -21.15%E -4.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.22%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-25 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-07-26 02:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-07-26 02:05
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-07-26 02:05