默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IK Sirius v IFK Goteborg

开赛时间: 2026-07-26 12:00 UTC

最终结果: IK Sirius 4–1 IFK Goteborg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IK Sirius (主队)

预测 63.50%1.57公平赔率
EV -2.20%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -4.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
61.34%63.42%63.55%65.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.461.451.5471.94%68.35%68.97%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

IFK Goteborg (客队)

预测 16.71%5.99公平赔率
EV +4.43%
优势 +0.708%
Kelly +0.843%
增长率 +0.037%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.51%16.74%16.73%18.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.535.506.2521.05%18.09%18.18%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.79%5.05公平赔率
EV +0.921%
优势 +0.181%
Kelly +0.225%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.54%19.84%19.71%22.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.524.505.1025.97%22.13%22.22%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:IK Sirius (主队):63.50%;IFK Goteborg (客队):16.71%;平局:19.79%。 对于“IFK Goteborg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.99。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.25,对应+4.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV +4.43%E +0.708%K +0.843%G +0.037%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV +4.43%E +0.708%K +0.843%G +0.037%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV +4.43%E +0.708%K +0.843%G +0.037%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.56%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.54%EV +3.59%E +0.579%K +0.691%G +0.025%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +0.921%E +0.181%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.8%2026-07-26 11:55
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.95%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.18%EV -0.252%E -0.042%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV -3.83%E -0.788%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 09:05
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.12%EV -2.93%E -0.504%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -9.96%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:56
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -3.09%E -0.533%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.04%E -0.620%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 11:45
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.56%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.09%E -0.533%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -4.03%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.56%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.09%E -0.533%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -4.03%E -0.830%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -3.09%E -0.533%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -3.09%E -0.533%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -15.90%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 11:41
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.93%E -0.683%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -3.93%E -0.683%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -1.06%E -0.212%K -0.264%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.93%E -0.683%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:40
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.93%E -0.683%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:40
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.93%E -0.683%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:40
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.93%E -0.683%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -16.89%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.55%EV -2.84%E -1.86%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.73%EV -4.43%E -0.774%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.72%EV -8.58%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 11:56
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -4.76%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.02%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.43%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.43%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.43%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.02%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 11:50
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 11:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 11:50
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:55
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:35
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:35
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 11:34
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -9.83%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -11.10%E -7.93%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:35
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -18.87%E -4.60%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -20.85%E -5.21%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -7.29%E -4.99%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.92%EV -10.46%E -7.42%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.38%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -20.85%E -5.21%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 11:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -20.85%E -5.21%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.20%EV -9.83%E -6.92%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -3.04%E -0.620%K -0.779%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.28%E -2.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.34%EV -11.10%E -7.93%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.36%EV -12.28%E -2.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.30%EV -23.81%E -6.19%K -8.36%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-26 11:41
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:50
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:30
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.56%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.32%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 11:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.28%EV -11.73%E -8.44%K -30.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%EV -11.10%E -7.93%K -27.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -20.64%E -4.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 11:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-07-26 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-07-26 11:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.6%2026-07-26 11:50