Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.49
assuming max odds 8.00
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Sirius (Local): 65.27%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 13.98%; Draw: 20.75%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.15. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.85%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.89%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.35%EV -0.591%E -0.083%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.76%EV -5.18%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.32%E -5.15%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.56%E -0.991%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -2.48%E -0.529%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 16:42 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.75%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.22%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 13.91%EV -4.09%E -0.596%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.71%EV -4.35%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -10.58%E -7.72%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -4.93%E -0.724%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -2.48%E -0.529%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.89%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.89%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -11.89%E -8.80%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -11.89%E -8.80%K -33.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 16:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.65%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.53I 15.31%NM 14.55%EV -8.70%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV -5.18%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.56%E -0.991%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.67%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.32%E -5.15%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.93%E -3.64%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.92%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -10.52%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.28%EV -12.54%E -9.36%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.89%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 15:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.31% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 0.4% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |