Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Sirius v Degerfors IF

Início: 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Sirius 2–0 Degerfors IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Sirius (Local)

Previsão 65.27%1.53odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -5.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.42%65.36%65.22%67.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.411.401.4974.63%71.05%71.43%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Degerfors IF (Visitante)

Previsão 13.98%7.15odd justa
EV +11.85%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescimento +0.201%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.10%13.95%13.99%15.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.756.706.508.0017.39%14.94%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.75%4.82odd justa
EV -0.409%
Vantagem -0.085%
Kelly -0.108%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.50%20.69%20.78%22.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.424.404.8024.39%22.61%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Sirius (Local): 65.27%; Degerfors IF (Visitante): 13.98%; Empate: 20.75%. Para Degerfors IF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.15. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 16:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:03
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.89%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.35%EV -0.591%E -0.083%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.76%EV -5.18%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.32%E -5.15%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.56%E -0.991%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:51
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -2.48%E -0.529%K -0.671%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 16:42
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.75%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 16:04
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.22%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.91%EV -4.09%E -0.596%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.71%EV -4.35%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -10.58%E -7.72%K -28.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -4.93%E -0.724%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -2.48%E -0.529%K -0.671%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.89%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.89%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -11.89%E -8.80%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -11.89%E -8.80%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:04
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.65%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.55%EV -8.70%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV -5.18%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.56%E -0.991%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:43
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:10
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:09
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.67%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.32%E -5.15%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.93%E -3.64%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:36
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.92%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -10.52%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.28%EV -12.54%E -9.36%K -36.88%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.89%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 16:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 15:01
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%0.4%2026-09-14 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-09-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-09-14 16:45
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-09-14 16:40