Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Sirius v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : IK Sirius 2–0 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prévision 65.27%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -5.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.42%65.36%65.22%67.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.411.401.4974.63%71.05%71.43%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.98%7.15cote équitable
EV +11.85%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.201%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.10%13.95%13.99%15.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.706.508.0017.39%14.94%15.38%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.75%4.82cote équitable
EV -0.409%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.50%20.69%20.78%22.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.424.404.8024.39%22.61%22.73%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IK Sirius (Local) : 65.27% ; Degerfors IF (Visiteur) : 13.98% ; Match nul : 20.75%. Pour Degerfors IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.15. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +11.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 16:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +11.85%E +1.48%K +1.69%G +0.201%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%EV -0.409%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:04
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.748%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:03
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.89%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.35%EV -0.591%E -0.083%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.76%EV -5.18%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -7.32%E -5.15%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.56%E -0.991%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 16:51
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -2.48%E -0.529%K -0.671%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 16:42
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -2.13%E -0.304%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -9.75%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 16:04
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.38%EV -4.71%E -3.22%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.91%EV -4.09%E -0.596%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.71%EV -4.35%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -10.58%E -7.72%K -28.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -4.93%E -0.724%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -2.48%E -0.529%K -0.671%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.89%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.89%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -10.78%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -11.89%E -8.80%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.89%EV -11.89%E -8.80%K -33.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -5.62%E -0.833%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:04
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.65%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.55%EV -8.70%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV -5.18%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.53%EV -2.75%E -1.84%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.68%EV -3.52%E -0.757%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.56%E -0.991%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:43
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:10
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.36%E -3.70%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:09
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.67%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -7.32%E -5.15%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.93%E -3.64%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:36
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.92%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -10.52%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -11.82%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.28%EV -12.54%E -9.36%K -36.88%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.89%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.63%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 16:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -9.93%E -7.19%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.71%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 15:01
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.62%E -6.16%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.86%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.31%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%0.4%2026-09-14 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-09-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-09-14 16:45
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-09-14 16:40