The School of Odds

IFK Goteborg v IF Brommapojkarna

2026-07-17 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -6.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%53.20%53.20%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.721.7962%59%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.566%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%22.79%22.79%24.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.504.054.054.5029%25%25%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.01%4.16fair odd
EV +0.853%
Edge +0.203%
Kelly +0.267%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.01%24.01%24.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.854.2028%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%EV +2.55%E +0.566%K +0.728%G +0.019%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%EV +0.853%E +0.203%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.9%2026-07-10 17:20
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%EV +2.55%E +0.566%K +0.728%G +0.019%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%EV +0.853%E +0.203%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.9%2026-07-10 17:20
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%EV +2.55%E +0.566%K +0.728%G +0.019%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%EV +0.853%E +0.203%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.9%2026-07-10 17:19
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.97%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.29%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.35%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.97%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.29%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.35%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 17:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 17:20
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 17:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 17:20
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.17%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.97%EV -7.71%E -1.90%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.35%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 17:20
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -10.63%E -6.33%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.85%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 17:20
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -9.30%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 17:34
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -10.63%E -6.33%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -9.98%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 53.33%EV -11.69%E -7.04%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -9.98%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.35%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-10 17:20
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 53.33%EV -11.69%E -7.04%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -9.98%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.35%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-10 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -11.69%E -7.04%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.40%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.35%E -3.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-10 17:18
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.27%EV -14.35%E -8.91%K -23.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -13.40%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -14.76%E -4.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-10 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.54%EV -11.69%E -7.04%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -16.82%E -4.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-10 17:29
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.11%EV -13.82%E -8.53%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%EV -20.24%E -5.78%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.78%EV -14.76%E -4.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-10 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%13.2%2026-07-10 17:25