Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg v IF Brommapojkarna

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 2–1 IF Brommapojkarna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prediction 50.22%1.99fair odd
EV -0.070%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.25%50.02%50.19%51.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.841.9958.48%54.40%54.35%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +0.875%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%25.15%25.10%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.683.704.1031.25%27.15%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.18%24.83%24.70%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.703.9529.85%27.17%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:34
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:35
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:34
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.206%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.24%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.524%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 16:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 16:53
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 16:54
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:34
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:39
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.59%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 16:49
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 16:39
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:34
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:34
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -0.572%E -0.289%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -7.06%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.59%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 16:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 16:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 16:39
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 16:54
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -12.20%E -3.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:34
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.09%EV -10.62%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 16:55
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 16:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 16:34
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 16:34
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.07%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 16:50
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -0.070%E -0.035%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 16:34
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 16:33
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 16:39
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.02%EV -14.13%E -8.26%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%EV -17.15%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-17 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.00%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 16:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -19.84%E -6.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-17 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-07-17 16:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55