L’École des cotes

IFK Goteborg v IF Brommapojkarna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Goteborg 2–1 IF Brommapojkarna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 50.22%1.99cote équitable
EV -0.070%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.25%50.02%50.19%51.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.841.841.9958.48%54.40%54.35%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Brommapojkarna (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.661%
Kelly +0.875%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%25.15%25.10%27.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.704.1031.25%27.15%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.73%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.18%24.83%24.70%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.683.703.9529.85%27.17%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:34
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:35
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:34
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.206%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.24%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.524%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 16:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 16:53
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 16:54
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:34
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:39
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.59%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 16:49
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 16:39
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:34
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:34
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -0.572%E -0.289%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -7.06%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.59%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 16:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 16:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 16:39
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 16:54
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -12.20%E -3.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:34
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.09%EV -10.62%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 16:55
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 16:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 16:34
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 16:34
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.07%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 16:50
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -0.070%E -0.035%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 16:34
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 16:33
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 16:39
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.02%EV -14.13%E -8.26%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%EV -17.15%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-17 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.00%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 16:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -19.84%E -6.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-17 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-07-17 16:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55