La escuela de los momios

IFK Goteborg v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-07-17 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 2–1 IF Brommapojkarna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Predicción 50.22%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.070%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.070%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.25%50.02%50.19%51.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.841.841.9958.48%54.40%54.35%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV +2.71%
Ventaja +0.661%
Kelly +0.875%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.74%25.15%25.10%27.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.683.704.1031.25%27.15%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.18%24.83%24.70%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.683.703.9529.85%27.17%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:34
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:35
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 16:34
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.206%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:49
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.24%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.51%EV -2.05%E -0.524%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 16:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 16:39
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 16:53
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 16:54
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:34
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:39
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 16:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.59%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 16:49
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 16:39
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:34
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 16:34
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.50%EV -0.572%E -0.289%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -7.06%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.59%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 16:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.54%E -0.909%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 16:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 16:39
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -7.60%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 16:54
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -12.20%E -3.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:34
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.09%EV -10.62%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 16:34
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 16:55
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 16:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -10.11%E -5.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.96%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.53%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 16:34
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-17 16:34
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.07%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 16:50
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -0.070%E -0.035%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.02%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 16:34
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 16:33
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.49%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-17 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.91%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 16:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 16:39
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.02%EV -14.13%E -8.26%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%EV -17.15%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-17 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.00%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 16:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -19.84%E -6.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -7.25%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-17 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-07-17 16:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-07-17 16:55