Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.00
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Goteborg (Local): 17.90%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 59.19%; Draw: 22.90%. For IFK Goteborg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.43%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +3.84%E +0.663%K +0.801%G +0.031% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -2.67%E -0.628%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 12:47 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV -0.631%E -0.114%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.72%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -9.77%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.24%EV -0.810%E -0.146%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.69%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -5.19%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -11.80%E -7.92%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.47%E -4.10%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -7.25%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 12:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.85%EV -4.39%E -0.822%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.49%EV -3.51%E -2.16%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -5.11%E -0.964%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -0.837%E -0.193%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.55%EV -10.02%E -6.60%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.71%EV -8.69%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.87%EV -17.13%E -12.23%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.15%E -0.686%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.43%EV -0.837%E -0.193%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 12:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -13.16%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -13.16%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -6.47%E -4.10%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -14.12%E -3.77%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -14.17%E -9.77%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.95%E -3.15%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -15.85%E -3.37%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.67%EV -12.39%E -8.37%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -19.43%E -4.32%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -10.02%E -6.60%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -19.43%E -4.32%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -19.85%E -5.67%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |