La escuela de los momios

IFK Goteborg v Hammarby IF

Inicio: 2026-05-09 13:02 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 0–1 Hammarby IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Predicción 17.90%5.59momio equitativo
EV +7.43%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.110%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.17%17.89%17.90%19.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.265.256.0022.22%19.02%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 59.19%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.686%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%59.21%59.22%61.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.551.561.6771.43%64.42%64.31%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.90%4.37momio equitativo
EV +0.766%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.225%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%22.90%22.89%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.044.004.4028.57%24.77%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.9%2026-05-09 13:00
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-09 12:59
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +3.84%E +0.663%K +0.801%G +0.031%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%2.5%2026-05-09 13:00
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -2.67%E -0.628%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 12:59
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:47
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:59
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 12:59
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV -0.631%E -0.114%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.72%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -9.77%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Pinnacle5.54I 18.05%NM 17.24%EV -0.810%E -0.146%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.69%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -5.19%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 12:59
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:59
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 12:59
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -11.80%E -7.92%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:00
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.47%E -4.10%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -7.25%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:56
GTbets5.34I 18.73%NM 17.85%EV -4.39%E -0.822%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.49%EV -3.51%E -2.16%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Betsson5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -5.11%E -0.964%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 12:59
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 12:59
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -0.837%E -0.193%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.55%EV -10.02%E -6.60%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:00
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.71%EV -8.69%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.87%EV -17.13%E -12.23%K -42.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 13:00
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.15%E -0.686%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.43%EV -0.837%E -0.193%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:58
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 12:58
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 12:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 13:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:00
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -13.16%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:00
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -13.16%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -6.47%E -4.10%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -14.12%E -3.77%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -14.17%E -9.77%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.95%E -3.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -15.85%E -3.37%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.67%EV -12.39%E -8.37%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -19.43%E -4.32%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -10.02%E -6.60%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -19.43%E -4.32%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -19.85%E -5.67%K -7.94%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-09 13:00
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-05-09 13:00