L’École des cotes

IFK Goteborg v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 13:02 UTC

Score final : IFK Goteborg 0–1 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 17.90%5.59cote équitable
EV +7.43%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.17%17.89%17.90%19.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.265.256.0022.22%19.02%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.19%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.686%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.21%59.22%61.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.551.561.6771.43%64.42%64.31%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.90%4.37cote équitable
EV +0.766%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.225%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%22.90%22.89%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.044.004.4028.57%24.77%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.9%2026-05-09 13:00
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.34%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-09 12:59
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +7.43%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +3.84%E +0.663%K +0.801%G +0.031%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV +0.766%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%2.5%2026-05-09 13:00
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV +2.95%E +0.513%K +0.621%G +0.018%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.19%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -2.67%E -0.628%K -0.821%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 12:59
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:47
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -10.62%E -7.03%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:59
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +0.264%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 12:59
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV -0.631%E -0.114%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.72%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -9.77%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Pinnacle5.54I 18.05%NM 17.24%EV -0.810%E -0.146%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.69%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -5.19%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 12:59
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:59
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 12:59
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -11.80%E -7.92%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.53%E -0.278%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:00
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.32%E -0.614%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.43%EV -6.47%E -4.10%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -7.25%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:56
GTbets5.34I 18.73%NM 17.85%EV -4.39%E -0.822%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.49%EV -3.51%E -2.16%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.66%EV -7.71%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Betsson5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -5.11%E -0.964%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 12:59
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 12:59
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -0.837%E -0.193%K -0.251%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -6.00%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.55%EV -10.02%E -6.60%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:00
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 16.71%EV -8.69%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.87%EV -17.13%E -12.23%K -42.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 13:00
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.15%E -0.686%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.43%EV -0.837%E -0.193%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:58
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 12:58
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 12:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.06%E -4.50%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 13:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.48%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:00
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -13.16%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:00
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -13.16%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -6.47%E -4.10%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -14.12%E -3.77%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.06%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -14.17%E -9.77%K -31.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.95%E -3.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -9.43%E -6.17%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -15.85%E -3.37%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.67%EV -12.39%E -8.37%K -25.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -19.43%E -4.32%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -10.02%E -6.60%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -19.43%E -4.32%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.21%E -7.47%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -19.85%E -5.67%K -7.94%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-09 13:00
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-05-09 13:00