默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IF Elfsborg v Västerås SK

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

最终结果: IF Elfsborg 3–0 Västerås SK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

IF Elfsborg (主队)

预测 58.81%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -4.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.24%58.73%58.85%60.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.571.571.6565.79%63.51%63.69%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Västerås SK (客队)

预测 18.08%5.53公平赔率
EV +1.27%
优势 +0.227%
Kelly +0.277%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 5.60

博彩公司预测分布
16.91%18.15%18.05%19.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.075.005.6022.22%19.71%20.00%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.11%4.33公平赔率
EV +0.046%
优势 +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
22.07%23.12%23.11%24.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.963.954.3327.03%25.28%25.32%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:IF Elfsborg (主队):58.81%;Västerås SK (客队):18.08%;平局:23.11%。 对于“Västerås SK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.53。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.60,对应+1.27%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.03%EV -4.14%E -2.54%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -0.536%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -0.536%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.51%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.84%EV -2.89%E -0.538%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:50
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.27%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.83%EV -3.79%E -0.713%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.34%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:47
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.73%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.96%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -5.96%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.46%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.76%EV -7.59%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -2.73%E -0.648%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:14
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:29
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:23
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.61%E -6.98%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:19
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.88%EV -9.94%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -5.96%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.22%EV -10.48%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 16:33
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%EV -2.96%E -1.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.35%EV -10.84%E -2.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.82%EV -3.42%E -0.818%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%EV -2.96%E -1.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.35%EV -10.84%E -2.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.82%EV -3.42%E -0.818%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.29%E -2.53%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -10.61%E -6.98%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -15.00%E -3.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.62%E -4.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 16:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 57.04%5.80I 17.24%NM 18.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 24.67%-5.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55