Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

IF Elfsborg v Västerås SK

Начало: 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

Итог: IF Elfsborg 3–0 Västerås SK

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

IF Elfsborg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.81%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.96%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -4.56%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.24%58.73%58.85%60.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.571.571.6565.79%63.51%63.69%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Västerås SK (Гости)

Прогноз 18.08%5.53справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.27%
Преимущество +0.227%
Kelly +0.277%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.91%18.15%18.05%19.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.075.005.6022.22%19.71%20.00%17.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 23.11%4.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.046%
Преимущество +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.07%23.12%23.11%24.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.703.963.954.3327.03%25.28%25.32%23.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: IF Elfsborg (Хозяева): 58.81%; Västerås SK (Гости): 18.08%; Ничья: 23.11%. Для исхода «Västerås SK (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.53. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.60, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.27%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.03%EV -4.14%E -2.54%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -0.536%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -0.536%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.51%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.84%EV -2.89%E -0.538%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:50
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.27%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.83%EV -3.79%E -0.713%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.34%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:47
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.73%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.96%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -5.96%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.46%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.76%EV -7.59%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -2.73%E -0.648%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:14
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:29
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:23
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.61%E -6.98%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:19
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.88%EV -9.94%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -5.96%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.22%EV -10.48%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 16:33
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%EV -2.96%E -1.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.35%EV -10.84%E -2.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.82%EV -3.42%E -0.818%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%EV -2.96%E -1.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.35%EV -10.84%E -2.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.82%EV -3.42%E -0.818%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.29%E -2.53%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -10.61%E -6.98%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -15.00%E -3.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.62%E -4.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 16:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 57.04%5.80I 17.24%NM 18.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 24.67%-5.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55