Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Elfsborg v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 3–0 Västerås SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 58.81%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.24%58.73%58.85%60.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.571.571.6565.79%63.51%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.08%5.53cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.277%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.91%18.15%18.05%19.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.075.005.6022.22%19.71%20.00%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.11%4.33cote équitable
EV +0.046%
Avantage +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.07%23.12%23.11%24.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.963.954.3327.03%25.28%25.32%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IF Elfsborg (Local) : 58.81% ; Västerås SK (Visiteur) : 18.08% ; Match nul : 23.11%. Pour Västerås SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.53. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.27%E +0.227%K +0.277%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.03%EV -4.14%E -2.54%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -0.536%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -0.536%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.51%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.84%EV -2.89%E -0.538%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -2.26%E -0.535%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:50
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.27%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.83%EV -3.79%E -0.713%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.34%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:47
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.15%E -0.784%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.73%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:25
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.96%E -0.704%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.90%E -3.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.06%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -6.49%E -4.08%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.96%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -5.96%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.46%EV -3.55%E -2.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.76%EV -7.59%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -2.73%E -0.648%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:14
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:25
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.77%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.04%E -2.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:29
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.32%E -3.30%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:23
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 16:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.67%E -4.88%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.61%E -6.98%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.89%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.58%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:19
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.88%EV -9.94%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -5.96%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.22%EV -10.48%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 16:33
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%EV -2.96%E -1.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.35%EV -10.84%E -2.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.82%EV -3.42%E -0.818%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%EV -2.96%E -1.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.35%EV -10.84%E -2.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.82%EV -3.42%E -0.818%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.39%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -14.51%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -12.29%E -2.53%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.36%E -3.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -9.43%E -6.12%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.27%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.84%E -5.71%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.20%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-14 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -10.61%E -6.98%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -15.00%E -3.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.58%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.62%E -4.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.20%E -3.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-14 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 57.04%5.80I 17.24%NM 18.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 24.67%-5.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55