The School of Odds

IF Elfsborg v IK Sirius

2026-07-19 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prediction 30.43%3.29fair odd
EV +4.99%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.38%30.26%30.40%31.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.703.073.053.4537%33%33%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 42.93%2.33fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.72%43.08%42.96%46.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.082.102.2053%48%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.66%26.64%28.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.8531%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%EV +4.99%E +1.45%K +2.04%G +0.102%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -8.99%E -4.24%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV +2.56%E +0.665%K +0.898%G +0.023%2.1%2026-07-12 14:39
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%EV +4.99%E +1.45%K +2.04%G +0.102%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -8.99%E -4.24%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV +2.56%E +0.665%K +0.898%G +0.023%2.1%2026-07-12 14:39
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%EV +4.99%E +1.45%K +2.04%G +0.102%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -8.99%E -4.24%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV +2.56%E +0.665%K +0.898%G +0.023%2.1%2026-07-12 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -1.10%E -0.337%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -12.43%E -6.09%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -2.77%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:39
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -1.10%E -0.337%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -12.43%E -6.09%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -2.77%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:39
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.818%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -13.28%E -6.58%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:34
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.818%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -13.28%E -6.58%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:35
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.818%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -13.28%E -6.58%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:35
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -2.62%E -0.818%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -13.28%E -6.58%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:34
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -4.14%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -15.43%E -7.83%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:39
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 30.35%EV -5.36%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.29%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.36%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 17:29
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.35%EV -7.27%E -3.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -5.70%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 18:04
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 19:39
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 19:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 19:04
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.45%EV -15.86%E -8.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 14:39
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%EV -16.29%E -8.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-12 14:34
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%EV -16.29%E -8.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-12 14:39
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.42%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:35
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.18%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 17:29
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.44%E -0.388%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.44%E -0.388%K -0.532%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.56%E -2.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:29
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 17:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 17:44
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 17:44
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 17:44
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 17:44
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -19.29%E -10.26%K -21.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-12 14:39
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -10.23%E -3.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 17:39
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.89%EV -10.23%E -3.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.80%EV -10.71%E -5.15%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.85%E -4.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 18:44
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -12.00%E -5.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 17:38
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -12.36%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.00%E -5.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 17:28
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -13.27%E -4.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -12.00%E -5.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.00%E -5.85%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.14%E -7.07%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -17.83%E -6.60%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -14.14%E -7.07%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -14.75%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%6.5%2026-07-12 17:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%6.5%2026-07-12 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%6.5%2026-07-12 17:29
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 32.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.42%18.7%2026-07-12 17:49