La escuela de los momios

IF Elfsborg v IK Sirius

Inicio: 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 1–3 IK Sirius

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Predicción 27.26%3.67momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +0.949%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.62%27.27%27.32%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.403.8032.26%29.39%29.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Predicción 46.36%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.32%46.49%46.32%49.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.971.982.1056.18%50.89%50.51%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.38%3.79momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +0.737%
Kelly +0.992%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%26.23%26.36%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.503.9030.77%28.44%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%EV +3.61%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV +2.88%E +0.737%K +0.992%G +0.029%2.7%2026-07-19 13:50
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%EV +3.61%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV +2.88%E +0.737%K +0.992%G +0.029%2.7%2026-07-19 13:50
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%EV +3.61%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV +2.88%E +0.737%K +0.992%G +0.029%2.7%2026-07-19 13:50
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +0.880%E +0.238%K +0.326%G +0.003%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.63%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.238%E +0.063%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 14:00
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -1.57%E -0.436%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 14:25
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.90%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 14:25
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 14:25
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 14:25
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 13:50
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.37%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.15%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:10
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 13:55
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 13:55
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.53%E -5.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 13:45
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 14:15
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:50
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:05
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 14:05
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 14:19
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:05
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:20
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:15
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.15%EV -13.31%E -7.12%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 13:50
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -14.24%E -7.70%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 13:50
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -14.70%E -7.99%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 13:50
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -14.70%E -7.99%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 13:50
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 14:10
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -10.07%E -5.19%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 14:05
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 14:05
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 27.55%EV -10.84%E -3.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -9.14%E -4.66%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:05
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 14:05
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -17.49%E -9.82%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -11.63%E -3.47%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-19 13:50
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 14:04
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 14:05
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 14:05
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 14:24
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.12%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 14:05
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.48%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.19%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 14:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -15.48%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -13.31%E -7.12%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-19 14:20