L’École des cotes

IF Elfsborg v IK Sirius

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 1–3 IK Sirius

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 27.26%3.67cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +0.949%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.62%27.27%27.32%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.403.8032.26%29.39%29.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.36%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.32%46.49%46.32%49.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.971.982.1056.18%50.89%50.51%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.38%3.79cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +0.737%
Kelly +0.992%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%26.23%26.36%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.9030.77%28.44%28.57%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%EV +3.61%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV +2.88%E +0.737%K +0.992%G +0.029%2.7%2026-07-19 13:50
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%EV +3.61%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV +2.88%E +0.737%K +0.992%G +0.029%2.7%2026-07-19 13:50
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.62%EV +3.61%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.42%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV +2.88%E +0.737%K +0.992%G +0.029%2.7%2026-07-19 13:50
Coolbet3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV +0.880%E +0.238%K +0.326%G +0.003%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.63%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.238%E +0.063%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 14:00
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -1.57%E -0.436%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -4.77%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 14:25
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.90%EV -6.82%E -3.39%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 14:25
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 14:25
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 14:25
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.21%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 13:50
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.37%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.15%EV -6.62%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:10
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 13:55
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 13:55
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.53%E -5.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 13:45
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 14:15
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:50
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.25%EV -7.75%E -3.89%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:05
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 14:05
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 14:19
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:05
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:20
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:15
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.15%EV -13.31%E -7.12%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 13:50
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -14.24%E -7.70%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 13:50
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -14.70%E -7.99%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 13:50
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -14.70%E -7.99%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 13:50
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 14:10
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -10.07%E -5.19%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 14:05
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.27%E -4.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 14:05
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 27.55%EV -10.84%E -3.32%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -9.14%E -4.66%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:05
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.889%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 14:05
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -17.49%E -9.82%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -11.63%E -3.47%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-19 13:50
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 14:04
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 14:05
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 14:05
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 14:24
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 14:15
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.12%E -4.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 14:05
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.48%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.19%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 14:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -15.48%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -13.31%E -7.12%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-07-19 14:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-19 14:20