StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Elfsborg v AIK

Matchstart: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: IF Elfsborg 1–1 AIK

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Elfsborg (Hemma)

Prognos 34.19%2.92rättvist odds
EV -2.20%
Fördel -0.771%
Kelly -1.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.97%34.34%34.21%37.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.682.682.8640.00%37.35%37.31%34.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Borta)

Prognos 36.57%2.73rättvist odds
EV +4.22%
Fördel +1.48%
Kelly +2.28%
Tillväxt +0.096%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.74%36.40%36.56%37.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.522.542.8543.48%39.65%39.45%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.24%3.42rättvist odds
EV -2.05%
Fördel -0.613%
Kelly -0.873%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.15%29.25%29.23%30.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.153.153.3534.72%31.70%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IF Elfsborg (Hemma): 34.19%; AIK (Borta): 36.57%; Oavgjort: 29.24%. För AIK (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.73. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.22%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -12.46%E -4.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV +4.22%E +1.48%K +2.28%G +0.096%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.56%EV -2.20%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.91%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:30
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.33%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.76%EV -6.02%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -2.64%E -0.792%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:05
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Bovada🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.69%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.58%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:20
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.19%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:21
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.36%E -3.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -7.85%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.36%E -3.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -7.85%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -15.21%E -5.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.51%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.14%E -4.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.88%EV -11.51%E -4.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.51%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 14:26
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.89%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -15.79%E -5.48%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 14:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:20
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.4%2026-05-03 14:25
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-05-03 14:26