L’École des cotes

IF Elfsborg v AIK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 1–1 AIK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 34.19%2.92cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.97%34.34%34.21%37.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.682.8640.00%37.35%37.31%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AIK (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.57%2.73cote équitable
EV +4.22%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.74%36.40%36.56%37.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.542.8543.48%39.65%39.45%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.24%3.42cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.613%
Kelly -0.873%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.15%29.25%29.23%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.153.153.3534.72%31.70%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -12.46%E -4.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV +4.22%E +1.48%K +2.28%G +0.096%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 14:15
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.56%EV -2.20%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.91%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:30
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.33%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.76%EV -6.02%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -2.64%E -0.792%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:05
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.69%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.58%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:20
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.19%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:25
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:21
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:01
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.36%E -3.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -7.85%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.36%E -3.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -7.85%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:05
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:05
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:01
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:01
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -15.21%E -5.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 14:05
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.51%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.14%E -4.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.88%EV -11.51%E -4.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:03
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.51%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 14:26
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.89%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -15.79%E -5.48%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:20
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.4%2026-05-03 14:25
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-05-03 14:26