A Escola das Odds

IF Elfsborg v AIK

Início: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 1–1 AIK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Previsão 34.19%2.92odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -0.771%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.97%34.34%34.21%37.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.682.8640.00%37.35%37.31%34.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AIK (Visitante)

Previsão 36.57%2.73odd justa
EV +4.22%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.74%36.40%36.56%37.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.522.542.8543.48%39.65%39.45%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.24%3.42odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -0.613%
Kelly -0.873%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%29.25%29.23%30.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.153.153.3534.72%31.70%31.75%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -12.46%E -4.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV +4.22%E +1.48%K +2.28%G +0.096%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 14:15
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 14:00
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.56%EV -2.20%E -0.771%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.91%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:30
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.33%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.76%EV -6.02%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.37%EV -2.64%E -0.792%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:05
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.69%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.58%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:20
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.39%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.19%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:25
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:21
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:01
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:01
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.36%E -3.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -7.85%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.36%E -3.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -7.85%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.51%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:05
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:05
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:01
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 14:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:05
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:01
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -10.07%E -3.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -15.21%E -5.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 14:05
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.51%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.14%E -4.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.88%EV -11.51%E -4.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:03
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.51%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 14:26
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.09%E -4.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.89%E -6.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -15.79%E -5.48%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-03 14:20
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.4%2026-05-03 14:25
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-05-03 14:26